GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/4/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Eddersheim are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 62.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergWDWWW

GF 21 · GA 10 · avg 4.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
EddersheimLLWLW

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FriedbergEddersheim
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
77.8Form55.6
72.8Power62.7
1.92xG1.52
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