GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/6/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dietkirchen are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 40.9-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

76.9%

Model confidence

76.9%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DietkirchenLLLDL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FriedbergDietkirchen
66.7Attack48.0
66.7Defence16.7
77.8Form23.5
72.8Power32.0
3.62xG1.16
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