GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Darmstadt 98 II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Oberliga - Hessen, favouring a draw with 9.5% confidence, a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

23.4%

Model confidence

9.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergWWDLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Darmstadt 98 IIDWWWW

GF 21 · GA 7 · avg 4.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FriedbergDarmstadt 98 II
83.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form66.7
86.5Power74.3
2.06xG1.62
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