GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/2/2025, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Darmstadt 98 II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Darmstadt 98 II hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 79.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergWWWWW

GF 22 · GA 8 · avg 4.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Darmstadt 98 IILWWLL

GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FriedbergDarmstadt 98 II
66.7Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
77.8Form77.8
72.8Power79.4
1.82xG1.78
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