GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/9/2024, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Darmstadt 98 II are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Darmstadt 98 II hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 79.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergDWWLD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Darmstadt 98 IIWWWWW

GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FriedbergDarmstadt 98 II
66.7Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
77.8Form77.8
72.8Power79.4
1.82xG1.78
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