Friedbergvs
Bayern Alzenau
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/23/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bayern Alzenau are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 32.6-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20