GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/5/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while 1960 Hanau are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergWWLDW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
1960 HanauLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Friedberg1960 Hanau
66.7Attack83.3
66.7Defence25.0
77.8Form41.7
72.8Power51.6
2.58xG1.67
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