Friburguensevs
Goytacaz
COMPLETEDBrazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/17/2023, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friburguense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Friburguense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Goytacaz are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Friburguense hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (61.8 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Carioca - 2, while Friburguense holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friburguense
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Friburguense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33