GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/17/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friburguense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Friburguense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Goytacaz are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Friburguense hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (61.8 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Carioca - 2, while Friburguense holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friburguense

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Friburguense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriburguenseLDDWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GoytacazDLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
FriburguenseGoytacaz
48.5Attack43.6
66.7Defence64.1
63.6Form53.8
61.8Power56.0
1.14xG0.78
View match centre →