French Guyanavs
Sint Maarten
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
French Guyana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
French Guyana 1-0 Sint Maarten
Original prediction
French Guyana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.7% | 40.8% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.2% | 26.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 27.1% | 32.6% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
French Guyana
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
French Guyana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60