French Guyanavs
Belize
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 10/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
French Guyana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
French Guyana 1-0 Belize
Original prediction
French Guyana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.4% | 44.5% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.6% | 27.5% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.9% | 28.0% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
French Guyana
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
French Guyana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20