Fremad Amagervs
Nykobing FC
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 10/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nykobing FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fremad Amager 3-2 Nykobing FC
Original prediction
Nykobing FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 25.2% | 25.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.4% | 26.0% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 51.4% | 49.1% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Nykobing FC
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Nykobing FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80