Fremad Amagervs
Naestved
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Naestved · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fremad Amager 1-1 Naestved
Original prediction
Naestved
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 34.8% | 35.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.5% | 26.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 38.8% | 38.0% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Naestved
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Naestved has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20