Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Frem 0-3 Sundby
Original prediction
Frem
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.5% | 55.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.4% | 20.3% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 23.1% | 23.9% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Frem
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Frem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FremLLLWD
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SundbyWLLWL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FremSundby
66.7Attack45.8
37.5Defence37.5
33.3Form29.2
46.5Power39.9
2.51xG1.52