Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Frem 5-2 Ringsted
Original prediction
Frem
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.3% | 53.0% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.1% | 24.0% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.83 | 18.6% | 23.0% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Frem
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Frem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FremDWWLD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RingstedWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FremRingsted
46.7Attack33.3
53.3Defence33.3
33.3Form26.7
46.1Power33.3
1.88xG1.07