Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Næsby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Frem 2-0 Næsby
Original prediction
Næsby
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.1% | 29.4% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.4% | 22.3% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.5% | 48.2% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Næsby
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Næsby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FremDLLLL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NæsbyWWDLL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FremNæsby
56.7Attack66.7
36.7Defence53.3
30.0Form56.7
42.1Power58.5
1.63xG2.46