Freiburg IIvs
SV Sandhausen
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 9/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Freiburg II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Freiburg II 1-2 SV Sandhausen
Original prediction
Freiburg II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.1% | 59.8% | 18.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.1% | 19.6% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.8% | 20.7% | -13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Freiburg II
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Freiburg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60