GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 5/20/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Freialdenhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Freialdenhoven are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hennef 05 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Freialdenhoven hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Freialdenhoven holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Freialdenhoven

Probability

59.3%

Model confidence

59.3%

Freialdenhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FreialdenhovenDLWDL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hennef 05WLLLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FreialdenhovenHennef 05
54.0Attack49.4
50.6Defence29.9
41.4Form40.2
48.8Power41.0
2.58xG1.37
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