GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 10/8/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Freialdenhoven are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FreialdenhovenDLDLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bergisch GladbachWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
FreialdenhovenBergisch Gladbach
54.0Attack60.9
50.6Defence64.4
41.4Form66.7
48.8Power63.8
1.23xG1.80
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