Fredrikstadvs
Tromso
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tromso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fredrikstad 1-1 Tromso
Original prediction
Tromso
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 33.5% | 29.7% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.7% | 27.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 38.8% | 42.8% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Tromso
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Tromso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FredrikstadDWDLW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TromsoWWLLD
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FredrikstadTromso
39.7Attack63.5
49.2Defence54.0
44.4Form60.3
46.5Power58.5
1.14xG1.85