Fredrikstadvs
Moss
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 4/16/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fredrikstad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Fredrikstad are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Moss are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fredrikstad hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.7% in the 1. Division, while Fredrikstad holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fredrikstad
Probability
77.7%
Model confidence
77.7%
Fredrikstad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80