GGOALVIO

Fredrikstad logoFredrikstadvsjerv logojerv

COMPLETED

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fredrikstad · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Fredrikstad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while jerv are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fredrikstad hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fredrikstad holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fredrikstad

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

17.3%

Fredrikstad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FredrikstadDLLWW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
jervLWLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Fredrikstadjerv
44.4Attack36.7
66.7Defence60.0
50.0Form33.3
54.9Power44.9
1.21xG0.67
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