GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 5/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ham-Kam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fredrikstad are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ham-Kam are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ham-Kam hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Eliteserien, while Ham-Kam holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ham-Kam

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Ham-Kam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FredrikstadLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Ham-KamWDWWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FredrikstadHam-Kam
35.4Attack50.0
43.8Defence43.8
41.7Form45.8
42.9Power47.4
1.27xG1.57
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