FredrikstadvsFC Midtjylland

Fredrikstad are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Midtjylland are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Midtjylland hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Fredrikstad holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.