Fredrikstadvs
Bodo/Glimt
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 9/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bodo/Glimt · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-3 (12%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fredrikstad 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Original prediction
Bodo/Glimt
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.74 | 12.0% | 8.4% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.45 | 17.1% | 14.7% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 70.9% | 76.9% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–312%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Bodo/Glimt
Probability
76.9%
Model confidence
76.9%
Bodo/Glimt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20