GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 11/10/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Frechen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while TuS BW Königsdorf are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Frechen

Probability

74.2%

Model confidence

74.2%

Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FrechenLWWLD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TuS BW KönigsdorfLLDDW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FrechenTuS BW Königsdorf
78.2Attack47.8
62.1Defence45.6
66.7Form40.0
66.5Power45.7
3.03xG0.97
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