GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 10/25/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Frechen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Siegburger SV are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.0% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Frechen

Probability

66.0%

Model confidence

66.0%

Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FrechenLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Siegburger SVLLDDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FrechenSiegburger SV
78.2Attack49.4
62.1Defence54.0
66.7Form46.0
66.5Power50.6
2.52xG1.02
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