Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Frechen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while SF Düren are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 22.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.0% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
88.0%
Model confidence
88.0%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80