Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Frechen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Porz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 6.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 39.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.8% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
84.8%
Model confidence
84.8%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 30 · avg 1.60/6.00