Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Frechen are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Porz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 39.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.8% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
84.8%
Model confidence
84.8%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40