Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Frechen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Pesch are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
72.2%
Model confidence
72.2%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80