Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Frechen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pesch are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
72.2%
Model confidence
72.2%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20