Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Frechen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hürth are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.8% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
81.8%
Model confidence
81.8%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20