Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Frechen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hennef 05 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 25.5-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
82.5%
Model confidence
82.5%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60