Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Frechen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hennef 05 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 25.5-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
82.5%
Model confidence
82.5%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60