GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 10/15/2023, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Frechen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Freialdenhoven are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.3% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Frechen

Probability

67.3%

Model confidence

67.3%

Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FrechenWWWWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FreialdenhovenWDLDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FrechenFreialdenhoven
78.2Attack54.0
62.1Defence50.6
66.7Form41.4
66.5Power48.8
2.73xG1.10
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