GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 8/27/2023, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Frechen are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Fortuna Köln II are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LDWW), averaging 3.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Frechen

Probability

70.2%

Model confidence

70.2%

Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FrechenWWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 2.33/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Fortuna Köln IILDWW

GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 3.50/2.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
FrechenFortuna Köln II
78.2Attack55.2
62.1Defence46.0
66.7Form44.8
66.5Power48.8
2.98xG1.13
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