Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Frechen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bornheim are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.8% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
67.8%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80