Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Frechen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bonner SC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bonner SC hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 68.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20