Frechenvs
Bergisch Gladbach
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 9/8/2024, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Frechen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bergisch Gladbach are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20