GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 9/8/2024, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Frechen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bergisch Gladbach are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Frechen

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FrechenLLLWD

GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Bergisch GladbachLDLLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FrechenBergisch Gladbach
78.2Attack60.9
62.1Defence64.4
66.7Form66.7
66.5Power63.8
1.87xG1.31
View match centre →