GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 3/10/2024, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Frechen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Frechen

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FrechenDWLDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bergisch GladbachWWLWD

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FrechenBergisch Gladbach
78.2Attack60.9
62.1Defence64.4
66.7Form66.7
66.5Power63.8
1.87xG1.31
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