Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frýdlant · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Frýdlant 1-5 Šumperk
Original prediction
Frýdlant
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.1% | 39.3% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.8% | 26.6% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 41.1% | 34.1% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Frýdlant
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Frýdlant has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FrýdlantLLDWD
GF 7 · GA 21 · avg 1.40/4.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ŠumperkLDLLL
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FrýdlantŠumperk
43.3Attack0.0
45.6Defence0.0
38.9Form0.0
44.4Power7.0
1.79xG1.39