Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Frýdlant are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Šumperk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40