Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stonava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Frýdlant are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Stonava are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Stonava hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Stonava holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stonava
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Stonava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60