Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hlučín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Frýdlant 3-0 Hlučín
Original prediction
Hlučín
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11.08 | 8.2% | 26.7% | 18.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.52 | 13.9% | 23.8% | 10.0 pts |
| Away | 1.16 | 78.0% | 49.5% | -28.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Hlučín
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Hlučín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FrýdlantLLLLL
GF 5 · GA 22 · avg 1.00/4.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HlučínDLWWW
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FrýdlantHlučín
0.0Attack50.0
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
7.0Power50.0
1.55xG1.89