Frýdek-Místekvs
Vrchovina
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frýdek-Místek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Frýdek-Místek 4-2 Vrchovina
Original prediction
Frýdek-Místek
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.6% | 48.0% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.7% | 25.7% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 5.06 | 17.8% | 26.2% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Frýdek-Místek
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Frýdek-Místek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20