Frýdek-Místekvs
Slovácko II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frýdek-Místek · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Frýdek-Místek 2-1 Slovácko II
Original prediction
Frýdek-Místek
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.6% | 44.2% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.2% | 25.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.2% | 30.8% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Frýdek-Místek
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Frýdek-Místek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20