Frýdek-Místekvs
Sigma Olomouc II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 8/28/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sigma Olomouc II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Frýdek-Místek 1-0 Sigma Olomouc II
Original prediction
Sigma Olomouc II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.0% | 24.6% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.6% | 25.0% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.4% | 50.4% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Sigma Olomouc II
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Sigma Olomouc II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20