Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Førde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Førde are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Stord are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 4.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Førde hold a 37.9-point power-rating edge (89.8 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the 3. Division - Girone 3, while Førde holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Førde
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
7.6%
Førde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 13 · avg 4.00/2.60
GF 8 · GA 24 · avg 1.60/4.80