Førdevs
Fyllingsdalen
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 3 · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Førde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Førde 6-2 Fyllingsdalen
Original prediction
Førde
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 79.3% | 64.9% | -14.4 pts |
| Draw | 7.29 | 12.5% | 18.4% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 11.17 | 8.2% | 16.7% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Førde
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
64.9%
Førde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FørdeDLLLL
GF 5 · GA 20 · avg 1.00/4.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FyllingsdalenLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 19 · avg 0.40/3.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FørdeFyllingsdalen
100.0Attack11.1
83.3Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
89.8Power7.9
3.75xG1.34