Second LeagueSecond League
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Fratria

Fratria

Home
D
01
Full time
Marek

Marek

Away
DW
Albena Stadium
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Fratria(43%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Fratria
43%
Draw
27%
Marek
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Fratria
34
Marek
73
Defence
Fratria
66
Marek
82
Momentum
Fratria
33
Marek
67
Danger (xG)
Fratria
0.90
Marek
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Fratria)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Marek)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Fratria)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Marek)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FratriaFratria
DWD
MarekMarek
DW

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Fratria43%
Draw27%
Marek30%

Fratria leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Fratria head into this in Second League fixture at Albena Stadium in mixed form (D), while Marek arrive in mixed form (DW). Fratria have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Marek over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Fratria (66/100) and Marek (82/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Fratria have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Marek have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Fratria and Marek in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Fratria to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Fratria 4310%, Draw 2728%, Marek 2962%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Fratria

Fratria

D
@ Yantra 2019
10 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Belasitsa
15 May 2026
30
D
vs Dunav Ruse
11 May 2026
22
Marek

Marek

D
@ Hebar 1918
15 May 2026
11
W
vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
11 May 2026
30

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Fratria vs Marek?

GoalVio's model predicts Fratria to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Fratria vs Marek?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Fratria vs Marek?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fratria vs Marek?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more